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Tuesday, December 31, 2024

Is Trump secretly helping Putin? Russia's take on US President-elect's bold Panama Canal annexation proposal Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/

 

US President-elect Donald Trump's recent social media posts proposing the annexation of Panama Canal, Greenland and Canada has sparked concerns among the allies of America. But, things are different in Russia. In Russia, they are being celebrated as a gift to Vladimir Putin.

According to a report in TOI, Kremlin insiders and Russian propagandists interpret Trump’s bold statements as implicit validation of Moscow’s territorial ambitions, further aligning him with Putin’s worldview.

What Russia said on Trump's remarks?

Donald Trump's remarks were met with enthusiasm on Russian state TV. Dmitry Kiselyov, host of Vesti Nedeli (The Weekly News), remarked, “Trump isn’t joking. He is determined to expand American territorial possessions. This signals the normalization of land grabs worldwide.” According to Kiselyov, Trump’s rhetoric paves the way for Putin to further legitimize Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea and even consider expanding its hold over Ukraine.

This should not come as surprise as Trump has previously praised Putin’s seizure of Crimea, calling it “genius” and “savvy.” Kremlin insiders argue that Trump’s only objection to Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 stems from the war’s cost and duration—not from any moral opposition to such actions.

During a recent broadcast of The Evening With Vladimir Solovyov, host Vladimir Solovyov drew direct parallels between Trump’s plans and Russia’s ambitions. “Trump politely announced that the US will be expanding its borders,” Solovyov said, adding, “If Trump can take Greenland, Panama, and Canada, why can’t Russia take back Finland, the Baltics, and Alaska?”

Experts on Russian state TV argued that Trump’s vision for territorial expansion plays directly into Putin’s hands. Military analyst Mikhail Khodaryonok declared, “Trump’s statements normalize special military operations as a tool for resolving disputes. This benefits Russia greatly.” Politicians like Andrey Lugovoy, a member of the State Duma, hailed Trump’s rhetoric as a signal that Russia should double down on its war efforts. “Trump’s insane statements show that there’s no need for a ceasefire. The era of empires is returning,” Lugovoy said.


Will Trump's presidency improve US-Russia relations?


According to insiders, The Kremlin's ultimate hope is that Donald Trump's presidency will lead to a US-Russia détente, where Putin can personally influence Trump to legitimize Moscow’s territorial claims. Russian propagandists, including Solovyov, dismissed the idea of engaging with Trump’s Ukraine envoy, retired Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg, in favor of direct talks between the two leaders.

For Putin, Trump’s statements serve a dual purpose: destabilizing America’s alliances while creating a precedent for Russia to expand its empire. Dmitry Kulikov, a Russian political scientist, summed it up: “Trump has buried the collective West. His moves make it clear—this is the era of the strong.” As the world watches Trump’s early moves with unease, it’s clear that his actions are already emboldening Putin’s ambitions, giving Russia a roadmap to exploit global instability for its own gain.

Last week, Putin said he was ready to compromise over Ukraine in possible talks with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump on ending the war and had no conditions for starting talks with the Ukrainian authorities. Trump, a self-styled master of brokering agreements and author of the 1987 book "Trump: the Art of the Deal", has vowed to swiftly end the conflict, but has not yet given any details on how he might achieve that.


Gold, Silver demand to surge in 2025—Gold price set to hit Rs 85,000 Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/cons-products/fashion-/-cosmetics-

 

Jewellers expect consumer demand for gold and silver to witness a growth of 12% -15% and 15% -18% respectively in 2025. On the price front, they expect that gold to touch Rs 85,000 per 10 gm.

Rajesh Rokde, vice-chairman of All India Gem & Jewellery Domestic Council (GJC) said "2024 was an excellent year for the jewellery industry, with customers showing a strong preference for affordable and sustainable options. We saw a significant increase in demand for silver jewellery, particularly among the younger generation. In terms of market trends, gold prices remained volatile, but customer demand remained strong. Silver prices saw a significant increase, driven by industrial demand and investor interest. The diamond market faced some challenges, but we saw a growing interest in lab-grown diamonds and sustainable diamond options."

As we look ahead to 2025, I expect customer demand to remain strong, driven by increasing awareness about sustainability and responsible sourcing practices. The growth in gold sales will be 12-15% growth and a 15-18% growth in silver sales. By the year 2025, India is expected to witness over 4 million weddings, which will have a positive impact on the jewellery industry and increase jewellery consumption in the country. Gold in India is viewed not only as a fashion accessory but also as an investment, and this dual role has attracted greater interest from the younger generation toward gold." Rokde added.

Added Saiyam Mehra, chairman of GJC "India’s gems and jewellery market is expected to grow to US$ 100 billion by 2025. The country continues to be one of the largest global hubs for the production, export, and consumption of jewellery. The sector is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5-6% during this period, underpinned by strong consumer demand, both locally and globally."


Mehra said "Though we expect prices of the precious metals to rise further in 2025, it should not affect the overall demand for gold and silver, and we are hopeful that it will be better than 2024, as India's middle class and young population (which forms a significant portion of the consumer base) will continue to drive demand for gold and diamond jewellery. The wedding jewellery market will also remain a major growth driver in India.”

Gold has seen a stellar rally this year delivering over 20% returns, which is higher than the benchmark indices such as Nifty 50 and S&P 500. This is the third consecutive year wherein gold has delivered returns in double digits. In terms of CAGR growth, the yellow metal has provided nearly 10.5% of CAGR growth in a decade.

The key reasons driving this rally of gold can majorly be attributed to the prolonged geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and between Russia-Ukraine which again escalated in H2 2024. This boosted the long term appeal of the yellow metal, which provided support to its prices. Another reason is the anticipations about rate cuts by the Fed, which further added sheen to the yellow metal," explained Colin Shah, managing director of Kama Jewelry.

"As we enter the new year, we expect the robust rally of gold to continue in 2025. The geopolitical tensions will continue to push gold prices upwards. However, a stronger USD may pull gold prices downwards. For Commex gold, the level of USD 3000 is still on the cards, whereas for MCX, it is expected to hit the level upwards of Rs 85,000 per 10 gm," Shah added.

At Rs 1,20,598 crore, FPI selling makes 2024 second-worst year in a decade ;-ET

 


Mumbai: The selling by foreign investors of Indian stocks in 2024 was the second highest in a decade as announcement of a stimulus package in China, rich valuations, rising US bond yields and subdued second-quarter earnings resulted in risk-off sentiment.

Analysts said that overseas investors are likely to remain cautious on India until clarity on Donald Trump's policies emerges and third-quarter earnings witness a revival. However, they expect foreign inflows to come back in the second half of 2025.

Foreign portfolio investors sold ₹1,20,598.42 crore in the secondary markets in 2024, according to NSDL. In 2024, these investors had withdrawn ₹1,50,250.17 crore from Indian equities. In 2023, they were net buyers worth ₹1,32,648.25 crore - the highest ever in the past 10 years.

Analysts said that in the first nine months of 2024, equities did receive robust foreign inflows. However, the sell-off since October led to the net negative foreign inflows in 2024.

"The tactical shift to China in early October along with rising US bond yields and the weak earnings in certain pockets of the market in Q2 led to a nosedive in foreign inflow of funds in 2024," said Neeraj Chadawar, head of fundamental and quantitative research, Axis Securities. "On the other hand, domestic investors deployed more than $60 billion that buoyed the markets."

Overvaluation to Blame
"The foreign outflows in 2024 were led by the lack of valuation comfort in Indian markets, especially compared with other emerging markets," said Abhilash Pagaria, head of alternative and quantitative research, Nuvama. "As the US markets have delivered strong performance and are reasonably valued, overseas investors are allocating to US equities."

Pagaria said that while the China stimulus had limited impact, the Q2 earnings disappointment was a major blow to foreign investor sentiment.

Nifty and Sensex have corrected 10% and 8.7%, respectively, since September 27 when the foreign sell-off began.

Analysts said that investors globally will be keenly watching how the trade dynamics play out once president-elect Trump takes charge on January 20.

"The US Federal Reserve cut rates in December, but US bond yields have  continued to inch higher. This divergence indicates lack of clarity on Trump's policies as both seem to be factoring different scenarios," said Chadawar.

Chadawar added that if there is a corporate tax cut in the US, then the inflation could move higher and reduce the chances of an interest rate cut.

"If there are further rate cuts in the US, we could expect foreign money coming back to India. However, the rate cuts are likely to be in the second half of 2025," said Chadawar. ""Until then, amid a strengthening dollar, weak foreign flows are expected to persist."


The US Dollar Index Futures surged almost 8% since September 27. So far in December, it moved 1.87% higher to 107.792.

Divam Sharma, founder and fund manager, Green Portfolio PMS, said that foreign investors are expected to wait and watch next year before allocating funds to India, as markets are not likely to be cheap but at the end of next year, they are likely to be net buyers.“Initial three to six months of 2025 are expected to be volatile as Trump forms the US government because although he has started giving hints, there is still uncertainty around policies,” said Sharma.

“However, the second half of 2025 could see foreign inflows once the US policy impact settles.”Another major trigger that overseas investors will watch out for regarding deployment of funds would be the third-quarter earnings around mid-January. “If earnings sustain and markets provide valuation comfort, foreign money could trickle into Indian markets,” said Pagaria.

“But valuation comfort is not likely in the near term in the Indian markets until domestic investors turn sellers and that is unlikely.” Pagaria said that IT stocks are at all time high valuations, banking stocks have been languishing and losing momentum amid MFI issues.

Banking stocks are seeing passive foreign inflows but there is no trigger for active foreign inflows in sight, he added. In the past three months, Bank Nifty dropped 4.69% while the Nifty IT Index gained 3.33% in the same period.

“Most of the earnings disappointment is factored in the markets and while a couple of quarters may also be slower, strong foreign inflow is expected in the second half of the year considering the consistent outflows in 2024,” said Sharma.

Chadawar said that the likelihood of foreign flows to India are bright once the dollar stabilises, as India is best placed in the EM basket in terms of growth. “The quantum of inflow is dependent on the currency dynamics so if there is greater volatility in currency next year it could hamper foreign inflows,” he said.


Tuesday, December 24, 2024

American Airlines grounds all US flights on busy Christmas Eve :-ET

American Airlines on Tuesday grounded all its flights in the U.S. due to an unspecified technical issue, according to the company and a regulatory notice, disrupting the travel plans of thousands of passengers set to fly out for Christmas Eve.

The company has not said why it was stopping all flights. Numerous passengers were posting on social media that their flights had been stuck on the runway at various airports and were now being sent back to the gate.

"An estimated timeframe has not been provided, but they're trying to fix it in the shortest possible time," the company said in a post on X, responding to a question from a stranded flyer.

Shares of the carrier were down 3.8% before the bell. A notice on the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration website merely said the company had requested a nationwide groundstop, without giving a reason.

As of 7:30 a.m. ET, American had not made a formal statement on social media, and was only responding to comments on X as numerous users posted there, as well as on Bluesky and Facebook.

"Hey, @AmericanAir just tell us whether we should go home or not. Please don't make us wait in the airport for hours," wrote one user.

American operates thousands of flights per day to more than 350 destinations in more than 60 countries.

The grounding comes months after airlines were hit by a global tech outage tied to Microsoft's Azure cloud platform and a software issue at cybersecurity firm CrowdStrike.

The U.S. FAA was not immediately available for further comment.

NFRA penalises Deloitte Haskins & Sells LLP, 2 auditors for lapses in ZEEL audits :-ET

 

The National Financial Reporting Authority (NFRA) has imposed a fine of Rs 2 crore on Deloitte Haskins & Sells LLP as well as penalties on two chartered accountants for lapses in auditing of Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd during 2018-19 and 2019-20 financial years. Along with slapping a fine of Rs 10 lakh, A B Jani has been barred from taking up any audit work for 5 years while the fine is Rs 5 lakh on Rakesh Sharma and the debarment period is 3 years.

Jani was the Engagement Partner (EP) and Sharma was the Engagement Quality Control Review (EQCR) Partner for the audit of the company for 2018-19 and 2019- 20.

The regulator had suo motu examined the audit file for the statutory audit of Zee Entertainment Enterprises Ltd (ZEEL) for the given periods to assess whether the auditor committed any professional misconduct.

After examining the audit file and responses of the audit firm to its queries as well as other records, NFRA said prima facie the auditors had not discharged their professional duties under the Companies Act as well as the Standards on Auditing (SA).

In its 30-page order dated December 23, NFRA said auditors failed to meet the relevant requirements of the SAs and violated the Act in respect of certain significant related party transactions.

The watchdog has imposed a monetary penalty of Rs 2 crore on Deloitte Haskins & Sells LLP apart from penalties on Jani and Sharma.Both individuals have been debarred from "being appointed as an auditor or internal auditor or from undertaking any audit in respect of financial statements or internal audit of the functions and activities of any company or body corporate," for varying periods.

The ban on Jani and Sharma is for 5 and 3 years, respectively.

In September 2018, ZEEL Chairman, who is also the promoter of Essel Group of companies, issued a letter to Yes Bank, committing Rs 200 crore fixed deposit of ZEEL as a guarantee for the loans given by Yes Bank to a promoter group company Essel Green Mobility Ltd.

The bank appropriated the fixed deposit in July 2019, towards settlement of loan amounts due from seven promoter group companies.

"Neither the creation and maintenance of fixed deposit nor its reappropriation by the bank was with the approval of the board or shareholders of the company. The statutory auditors failed to identify and report this misrepresentation," the regulator said.

Further, NFRA said its examination showed that the auditors were grossly negligent, failed to apply professional skepticism and due diligence, did not adequately challenge the management's assertions, and failed to evaluate reporting of suspected fraud.

This was evident from unauthorised guarantees/securities, premature closure of the fixed deposit by the bank and unauthorised use of ZEEL' s funds for settling the loan of the promoter group companies, with the knowledge of the Chairman of the group and management of ZEEL, the regulator said in the order.

A show cause notice was issued to the audit firm and the two auditors, and after considering their responses, the watchdog found that the audit firm and the two auditors, "are guilty of professional misconduct". Subsequently, the latest order was passed by it.

Tariff impact: Reliance Jio loses 3.76 million users in October 2024 :-The Business Standard

 

Losing subscribers for the fourth straight month, Reliance Jio witnessed 3.76 million users leave the telecom operator in October, data from the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (Trai) showed on Monday. Meanwhile, Bharti Airtel reversed three months of decline, and added 1.92 million users, indicating it has overcome the impact of the broad-based tariff hikes imposed by private sector telcos in July.
 
Market leader Jio's subscriber loss had continued to accelerate till September. But the latest attrition was much lower than the 7.96 million and 4.01 million user loss experienced by Jio in September and August, respectively. In July, the telco had seen 0.76 million users leave its platform.
Losing subscribers for the fourth straight month, Reliance Jio witnessed 3.76 million users leave the telecom operator in October, data from the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (Trai) showed on Monday. Meanwhile, Bharti Airtel reversed three months of decline, and added 1.92 million users, indicating it has overcome the impact of the broad-based tariff hikes imposed by private sector telcos in July.
 
Market leader Jio's subscriber loss had continued to accelerate till September. But the latest attrition was much lower than the 7.96 million and 4.01 million user loss experienced by Jio in September and August, respectively. In July, the telco had seen 0.76 million users leave its platform.

 
Cumulatively, the telco has lost 16.48 million users in the past four months, or 3.45 per cent of its total subscriber base of 476.52 million at June-end, data from the telecom regulator showed. Second-largest telco Airtel has so far lost 5.52 million users in 2024. Financially struggling Vodafone Idea (Vi) lost 1.97 million users in October, the highest in the past four months. Among private telcos, Vi had lost the most subscribers for two years till June, when it had lost 0.86 million users.
Meanwhile, state-owned telecom operator-BSNL continued to benefit from the churn in the market, albeit at a lower pace. After losing subscribers for two years, BSNL added 2.9 million, 2.53 million, and 0.84 million users in July, August and September, respectively. The pace of customer additions reduced to 0.51 million in October. With BSNL keeping tariffs unchanged, a large number of subscribers using entry-level plans have shifted to the telco. The loss-making firm is currently aiming to roll out its home-grown 4G network nationwide with 1 lakh towers by the middle of next year.
The three private sector telcos — Jio, Airtel and Vi — raised tariffs in the first week of July. BSNL, which is in losses, did not.
 
The tariff hikes have also led to SIM consolidation and subscription cancellations, numbers indicated. The overall number of mobile phone connections in India decreased by 3.3 million in October. This was lower than September's 10.1 million, August’s 5.77 million and July’s 9.22 million. Trai data also revealed 13.45 million subscribers had submitted requests for mobile number portability (MNP) in October, slightly up from September's 13.32 million, but lower than August's 14.6 million and 13.68 million in July.



Mystery drones, UFOs, Orbs or surveillance tools? Rumors abound over flying ‘objects’ in New Jersey The unexplained appearances have sparked conspiracy theories, with some suspecting government secrecy or even foreign spying. :-The Indian Express

 

Recent sightings of strange flying objects, including drones and UFOs, in New Jersey’s skies have left people curious and concerned. The unexplained appearances have sparked conspiracy theories, with some suspecting government secrecy or even foreign spying.


Red more at The Indian Express

Gucci in Gwalior, Rolex in Nagpur: Luxury finds its way to India’s smaller cities ;-ET

 


Gucci shoes and Louis Vuitton bags aren't just selling in India's big cities. Such high-end consumption patterns are emerging in other towns and locations in the country.

Some of the notable purchases this year on Tata CLiQ Luxury include pre-owned Rolex watches sold in Ajmer and Nagpur, handbags from Mulberry sold in Nadiad and Aligarh, and products from Bulgari sold in Etah and Karimnagar, among other locations.
"Ecommerce has enabled the luxury industry to increase its reach and become more accessible," said Gopal Asthana, CEO of Tata CLiQ. "On Tata CLiQ Luxury, approximately 55% of the platform's overall revenue comes from the non-metro markets."

Its TimeVallee portfolio, featuring brands such as Cartier, IWC, Jaeger-LeCoultre, Panerai and Piaget, also sees approximately 40% of its sales from non-metro markets. "The growing demand not only reflects the evolving aspirations of consumers across India but also reinforces our dedication to making premium and luxury brands accessible nationwide," Asthana said.

'Greater Propensity to Spend' 

Online business from smaller towns is twice as much as last year, said Neeraj Walia, managing director and CEO of Montblanc India.


"We see clients picking up limited editions and special products from Ranchi, Kanpur, Guwahati and Gwalior. We are servicing over 320 cities when it comes to online sales. About a year and a half ago, it would have been around 230," Walia said, adding, "Leather categories are doing extremely well."

Travel retail on the rise

Travel retail has also picked up, with flight connectivity having become more extensive.

"We have boutiques at Bengaluru and Delhi airports and we see clients from non-metros picking up products while they are transiting or moving in and out of the airports," Walia said. Fuelled by high aspirations, India's growth story is playing out far beyond the metros, in tier 2 and 3 cities, said Sandeep Ghosh, group country manager, India and South Asia at Visa.

"With a young demographic and an expanding middle-class, India's tier 2 cities and beyond, are displaying a greater propensity to spend," he said. "Insights from our upcoming Visa Consulting & Analytics India Study shows that in the last five years, across tier 3+ towns, the number of credit cardholders spending above ₹2 lakh annually grew 4x-compared to 1.4x growth in annual card spends in tier 1 cities-indicating a democratisation of affluence of sorts."

Luxury watch sales in India's tier 2 and tier 3 cities are on the rise, driven by increasing digitalisation, said Sanjay Mishra, director, India, FM International Watches & Jewellery Pvt Ltd (Franck Muller).

"Every Indian market has its own significance such as Ahmedabad, which is known for its high-spending capacity and affinity for luxury goods, or Pune, which is a significant market for luxury watches, with consumers seeking premium products," he said. "Lucknow and Kochi are emerging as a key market for luxury watches and Surat has been a promising market due to its per capita spends and proximity to Mumbai. Some customers are spending upwards of ₹26 lakh per annum on luxury goods online. We are planning to have a presence in Ahmedabad in 2025."

Tier 2, 3 locations

At Luxepolis, an online marketplace for certified pre-owned and discounted luxury goods, the share of sales in tier 2, tier 3 locations is up 52% this year from 42% two-three years ago, said founder Vijay KG.

"Our customers are spread across markets such as Surat, Jaipur, Jodhpur, Udaipur, Gangtok and Kochi, Solapur, Aurangabad, Salem and Tiruchirappalli," he said. "There is greater awareness among consumers and we have seen customers from Khammam in Telangana asking for marquee and niche bags from brands such as Givenchy and Chloe."

BSE-listed Ethos Ltd, which retails luxury watches, has launched boutiques in locations such as Kochi, Dehradun and Mangaluru, according to a November investor presentation.


"Since April 2024, we have opened 12 new stores, with plans to open 13 more by the end of financial year 2025, in line with our objective to expand our presence quickly and enter new cities where we currently do not have a presence," MD and CEO Pranav Saboo said in the investor presentation. "We are now operational in 26 cities with a total of 72 stores."

Defence Minister acknowledges Israel killed Hamas leader Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/

 

Israel's defense minister has confirmed that Israel assassinated Hamas' top leader last summer and is threatening to take similar action against the leadership of the Houthi rebel group in Yemen. The comments by Israel Katz appeared to mark the first time that Israel has acknowledged killing Ismail Haniyeh, who died in an explosion in Iran in July. Israel was widely believed to be behind the blast and leaders have previously hinted at its involvement.

In a speech Monday, Katz said the Houthis would meet a similar fate as the other members of an Iranian-led alliance in the region, including Haniyeh. He also noted that Israel has killed other leaders of Hamas and Hezbollah, helped topple Syria's Bashar Assad and destroyed Iran's anti-aircraft systems.


"We will strike (the Houthis') strategic infrastructure and cut off the head of the leadership," he said .

"Just like we did to Haniyeh, Sinwar and Nasrallah in Tehran, Gaza and Lebanon, we will do in Hodeida and Sanaa," he said, referring to Hamas and Hezbollah leaders killed in previous Israeli attacks.

The Iranian-backed Houthis have launched scores of missiles and drones at Israel throughout the war, including a missile that landed in Tel Aviv on Saturday and wounded at least 16 people.Israel has carried out three sets of airstrikes in Yemen during the war and vowed to step up the pressure on the rebel group until the missile attacks stop.




China's top TV company plans to buy 26% stake in Indian contract manufacturer Epack Durable's subsidiary :-ET

 


Hisense Group is planning to acquire up to 26% stake in Epack Durable's subsidiary for establishing a large appliance manufacturing facility in Andhra Pradesh. The deal follows India's encouragement for Chinese companies to partner locally, requiring multi-department clearance under FDI norms.


Coforge, Cigniti forge ahead with proposed merger Read more at: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com

 

Coforge and Cigniti Technologies are moving a step ahead toward a planned merger. The two companies have appointed EY and Axis Capital to prepare merger terms, which they intend to propose to their respective shareholders within a fortnight, according to people aware of the matter.

As per the merger plan, Coforge will absorb the listed Cigniti Technologies. Coforge’s market capitalisation has doubled to more than Rs 62,000 crore in the past seven months. Cigniti Technologies shareholders will be issued shares of Coforge once the advisers come up with an acceptable swap ratio, according to the people cited. Coforge, formerly known as NIIT Technologies, owns a 54% stake in Cigniti Technologies.

Coforge had announced the acquisition of the majority stake in Cigniti Technologies on May 2. It subsequently launched an offer of its own shares later that month through the qualified institutional placement (QIP) route to raise Rs 2,240 crore to finance the acquisition of Cigniti shares.

According to the QIP documents seen by ET, Coforge’s clients in North America are largely located on the east coast whereas Cigniti has customers in the west and Midwest, making for synergy.

The companies, EY and Axis Capital didn’t respond to queries.It was earlier majority-owned by EQT (formerly Baring Private Equity Asia), which had acquired a stake of nearly 70% in the company over a period of time beginning 2019. It sold the entire stake last year, making significant gains. When it entered, the shares had been at Rs 1,394 apiece. It exited at Rs 4,700 per share, when it sold the remaining 26% stake in August last year. It sold partial stakes in 2020, 2021 and 2022.

NIIT was renamed Coforge after the acquisition by EQT Baring Private Asia equity. NIIT’s original promoters were Rajendra Pawar and Vijay Thadani. Under the leadership of its CEO Sudhir Singh, a former top executive at Infosys, the company hit the $1 billion revenue milestone in April 2023. It is now looking at AI to get to $2 billion and eventually $5 billion, Singh told ET recently.
“We think AI represents a massive opportunity for us,” said Singh, who is also executive director. “We need to transform into being an actual AI-first organisation, because the journey from $2 (billion) to $5 (billion) or $2 (billion) to $10 (billion) becomes that much faster then.”

Despite the $250 billion IT industry seeing one of its worst growth periods in the last two years due to geopolitical strife and macroeconomic concerns, firms such as Coforge have managed to report strong growth and profitability.

Monday, December 23, 2024

Pakistan plans to acquire 40 planes of China's latest stealth fighter J-35: Report :-ET

 

Pakistan is reportedly planning a major defense upgrade by purchasing 40 J-35 stealth fighters from China. This potential deal, unconfirmed by either nation, would be China's first export of its advanced fifth-generation jet. The acquisition aims to modernize Pakistan's air force, replacing older F-16s and Mirage jets, despite Pakistan's economic challenges.



Budget 2025 expectations: Old tax regime continuation, capital gains tax simplification, reliefs on NPS, crypto, and more: Here's what experts want :-ET

 

As the Finance Minister and her team start crafting the Union Budget 2025, anticipation is building across sectors. Personal finance enthusiasts and taxpayers alike are curious about what the Budget proposals will mean for their pockets. For this week’s cover story, we reached out to industry experts, tax professionals and financial advisers to know what they want to see in the Finance Bill 2025.

Some of these expectations, such as a separate deduction for life insurance, lower tax on annuities and higher tax exemption for senior citizens, are longstanding demands and are unlikely to be fulfilled. However, North Block may find some other suggestions worth considering. For instance, one expert has suggested that taxpayers be rewarded with a group life insurance linked to the taxes they pay. As little as 1% of the tax paid by an individual can go into paying the premium of a group Insurance cover equal to five times the tax paid.


Another expert has suggested steps that could make the NPS more attractive to investors. The ultra low-cost scheme has everything that one looks for in a pension plan, but it is still not the preferred investment vehicle for retirement planning. Perhaps more tax benefits are needed to push people towards a scheme that can help them retire in comfort.

One key suggestion is the reduction in the TCS on foreign remittances. Two years ago, this was hiked from 5% to 20%, making it very difficult for those wanting to invest, spend or send money abroad. The TCS can be claimed as a refund by filing tax returns. The rule was introduced to ensure that people sending (or spending) money overseas were also filing their tax returns. While the objective seems fair, there is no logic for such restrictions on capital flows in a globalised economy. The TCS should be reduced to 5-10% of the amount being sent abroad, if not completely removed.


At the same time, the government’s focus on fiscal consolidation leaves little room for tax benefits that will result in lower revenue collections. One estimate says that every Rs.10,000 increase in the basic tax exemption limit burns a Rs.3,000 crore hole in the government’s coffers. The government has targeted a gross fiscal deficit of 4.9% of the GDP for 2024-25. It was 5.6% of the GDP in the previous year.

Experts have also suggested simplification of tax structures and fewer ambiguities in tax laws.

Our cover story analyses these suggestions and explores their potential impact on your finances. Dive into the story for expert perspectives and a better understanding of what may shape your financial year ahead.

Make NPS more attractive to investors

India faces a looming retirement crisis, with millions of individuals financially unprepared for retirement. The NPS has the potential to address this gap, but additional tax benefits are necessary to make it more appealing. The Budget should hike the deduction limit under Section 80CCD(1B) from Rs.50,000 to Rs.1 lakh. This would encourage higher investments by taxpayers and support long-term retirement savings, especially among savers and middle-income earners. The deduction limit under Section 80CCD(2) should also be hiked. Under the old tax regime, this limit is 10% of the basic salary. This year’s Budget had increased it to 14% of the basic salary for those opting for the new tax regime. This limit should be hiked to 20% of the basic salary. This would make the NPS more appealing to private sector employees.
RAJANI TANDALE
SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT,MUTUAL FUND, 1 FINANCE

The mandatory purchase of annuity under NPS keeps many investors away from the pension scheme. A systematic withdrawal plan that replaces or complements the annuity would allow retirees to access their corpus in a structured manner while avoiding low returns and high taxation associated with annuities.

Lastly, the budget should also provide some relief to tax on annuity income to increase post-retirement income.

ET Wealth view
Over the years, the utility of the NPS has grown manifold owing to several improvements in its features and benefits. However, more needs to be done to make it the preferred retirement savings vehicle. Hiking the tax deduction limit can be an effective way to push people to invest in the NPS.

More incentives for term insurance

Term insurance is by far the best form of life cover because it offers a large cover at a low cost. Currently, term insurance premiums are included in the Rs.1.5 lakh deduction limit under Section 80C. This section has too many investment and savings options, including the Provident Fund, PPF, ELSS and home loan principal repayment. The Budget should offer a separate tax deduction for term insurance premiums. This will encourage more people to prioritise life insurance for their family’s financial security.

NEHAL MOTA
CO-FOUNDER,FINNOVATE

There should also be incentives for employers to offer group term insurance to their employees. Targeted incentives, such as tax benefits or subsidies, will motivate employers to include group term insurance plans as part of their employee benefit package. This will ensure that even individuals who may not purchase term insurance policies on their own have a basic life cover through their workplace.

ET Wealth view
Term insurance should be a priority for any individual with dependents, but often gets ignored in the maze of other tax saving options under Section 80C. The government is giving precedence to the new tax regime, so a separate deduction for term life insurance seems unlikely.

Reward taxpayers with life cover linked to taxes paid

Indians are grossly underinsured, with insurance penetration at 4% of the GDP, compared to the global average of 7%. During the Covid mayhem, thousands of families were pushed into penury when sole breadwinners died. The Budget should fix this by offering group life insurance cover. Unlike the Ayushman Bharat scheme that provides free healthcare coverage to economically weaker sections of society, this scheme should cover individuals who are helping build the nation by paying taxes. The extent of the cover can be linked to the tax paid by the individual. So, if a person has paid Rs.10 lakh in tax, he should be eligible for a cover of Rs.50 lakh. That would require a premium of just 1% (Rs.10,000) of the tax paid.

SUDHIR KAUSHIK
CEO, TAXSPANNER.COM

ET Wealth view
Honest taxpayers who declare their income and pay due taxes deserve more than the commendation certificates mailed by the Finance Ministry. A group life insurance cover linked to the tax paid by the individual will be a more meaningful way to acknowledge their effort.

Do away with double taxation of annuities

Annuities are an important financial tool for providing regular income to retirees. But annuities are taxed doubly—once at the time of investment and again at the payout stage. Tax relief on the principal component of annuity income could encourage people to buy annuity products, stimulate the market and improve financial security in the country. Also, incentives should be announced for women, who account for about a third of life insurance buyers in India.

UMIT RAI
MD & CEO, EDELWEISS LIFE INSURANCE

ET Wealth view
Annuity payouts are added to income and taxed at the slab rate. A long-standing demand by annuity distributors, reducing the tax on annuities will certainly make them more attractive. But it will burn a big hole in government revenues and may not be viable.

Reduce TCS on foreign remittances

Two years ago, the government enhanced the TCS on foreign remittances from 5% to 20%. Anybody investing, sending or spending more than Rs.7 lakh abroad has to shell out 20% more. Though this amount can be claimed as a refund while filing tax returns, the money gets locked for several months. The previous Budget had given some relief to salaried taxpayers by allowing them to adjust their tax liability against the TCS. Other taxpayers get no such option. In a globalised economy, there is no logic for such restrictions on the flow of capital. The TCS on remittances should be reduced to 5-10% of the amount being remitted.

KARAN BATRA
FOUNDER, THE CHARTERED CLUB

ET Wealth view
At 20% of the amount, the TCS is too high and needs to be reviewed. Reducing this to 5% will not only ease the burden for taxpayers, but also make capital account convertibility more meaningful

Hike tax exemption for senior citizens

After they stop working, senior citizens are totally dependent on the income from their savings. Many incomes, such as dividends, have now come under the tax net, which eats into the overall returns of the investor. For senior citizens, there is an exemption of Rs.50,000 on the interest they earn, but it does not fully compensate the tax on other incomes. The basic exemption for senior citizens should be hiked to Rs.4 lakh and the exemption under Section 80TTB should be increased to at least Rs.1 lakh. This will provide some cushion to senior citizens in their sunset years.

RAJESH K.RATTAN
RETIRED TAXPAYER, 76 YEARS

ET Wealth view
Though senior citizens have received many tax benefits and other incentives in recent years, they deserve a higher basic exemption and an increase in tax exemption on interest income. These measures will help the grey population fight inflation to some extent.

Give tax relief to crypto investors

Indian investors are missing the splendid opportunity offered by cryptocurrencies because of the high tax introduced last year. The Budget should reduce the tax on virtual digital assets (VDA) below 30% and cut the TDS on all transactions from 1% to 0.01%. It is equally important to offer a set-off and carry-forward provision for losses in VDA transactions. These reforms are necessary to create a level playing field for crypto investors and traders. Lower taxes will also boost compliance and prevent investors from moving to exchanges abroad. India could lead the global Web3 and blockchain renaissance if a fair and friendly tax regime is put in place.

AVINASH SHEKHAR
CO-FOUNDER & CEO,PI42

ET Wealth view
The high tax and stiff rules were meant to discourage investments in cryptos. There is no separate regulator for crypto investments in India. The Budget should name a regulator to ensure that investors are protected.

Deduction of health cover premium

Medical insurance costs have gone up in recent years and the GST on premiums only makes matters worse. The high cost of medical insurance premiums deters many from securing insurance, leaving a significant portion of the population without adequate coverage. Reducing GST on health insurance premiums would make it more affordable. If such a reduction is not feasible, alternative measures must be considered. For instance, a complete tax deduction on premiums paid towards health insurance under Section 80D under the old tax regime could encourage a wider adoption without impacting the government’s GST collection.

TAPAN SINGHEL
MD & CEO, BAJAJ ALLIANZ GENERAL INSURANCE

ET Wealth view

If the GST Council announces a cut in the 18% GST on health insurance premiums, the cost of medical insurance would come down considerably. Full tax deduction for the premium would be a bigger incentive for buying adequate health insurance.

Roll back TDS on interest from listed bonds

The previous Budget introduced a 10% TDS on coupon payments from listed bonds. While the intention behind this policy was to ensure greater tax compliance, it has created challenges for fixedincome investors, particularly retail and individual investors.

VISHAL GOENKA
CO-FOUNDER,INDIABONDS.COM

Many are unaware of the way bond investments work, particularly when it comes to timing coupon payments. Transactions done between two coupon payments have an adverse effect on cash flows and YTM (yield to maturity) calculations. The holder, on interest payment date, gets the coupon on the entire interest period and is subject to 10% TDS on the entire amount even though he may have bought the bond in the secondary market and had already paid accrued interest to the seller.

Senior citizens are exempt from TDS if they submit Form 15G or 15H, but the process is not always smooth. This can lead to unintentional deductions and require time-consuming refund claims, which adds unnecessary complications for those relying on regular coupon income. A rollback of the TDS provision on coupon payments would eliminate cashflow inefficiencies and administrative hurdles for investors, while preserving the predictability of bond returns.

ET Wealth view
TDS is applicable on income from fixed deposits and dividends. So keeping bonds out of the TDS ambit does not allow a level playing field. Given that the government is keen to rationalise the tax system and remove anomalies, the TDS may not be rolled back.

Don’t remove the old tax regime

There is a growing concern that the government wants to do away with the old tax regime altogether. While the new regime has wider tax slabs and lower rates, there are very few deductions and exemptions. The taxpayers who have planned their long-term investments and expenses after factoring in the tax benefits will lose out under the new regime. The old regime should continue as before and taxpayers should be free to make a choice.

RISHI AHUJA

FINANCE PROFESSIONAL, DELHI

ET Wealth view
Last year, the new tax regime was made the default option. This year, it increased the standard deduction to Rs.75,000. While the government should make the new regime more attractive, it should not remove the option to stay with the old regime.

Rationalise cost of equity investments


With a growing section of the middle class taking to equities for wealth creation, there is merit in simplifying the overall tax and cost structure for equity investments. There are multiple cost structures levied on each equity transaction, including exchange transaction charges, STT brokerage, stamp duty and GST on total charges. A review of all these overhead costs and simplification can lead to wider participation, enabling wealth creation without impacting the overall tax collection.

DINESH ROHIRA
FOUNDER, 5NANCE.COM

ET Wealth view
There is a large-scale public participation in capital markets. The existing cost structure is not hampering it in any way, so a change is unlikely.

Tax deduction for house maintenance charges

In most urban areas, the maintenance of residential buildings is undertaken by the housing society, federation, company or a common body. In many cases, this can be a substantial expense, but is not allowed as a deduction. There is a spate of litigation in the country on account of this expense. The contribution towards maintenance charges paid to any of these bodies should be allowed as deduction against rental income to ensure that only real income is subjected to tax. Amending the law and allowing a deduction for the same would lead to considerable reduction in litigation and relief to homeowners.

RAJ LAKHOTIA
MANAGING PARTNER,LABH & ASSOCIATES

ET Wealth view
Despite 30% standard deduction for repairs and maintenance, the total maintenance contribution in apartment buildings often exceeds this limit. Allowing the deduction of maintenance charges would provide a realistic estimate of real rental income.

Exempt TDS payers from filing tax returns

Salaried individuals are required to file their tax returns even if TDS has been deducted on their salary. This mandatory filing of ITR creates an additional compliance for employees, particularly when no additional income or complex deductions are involved. In many developed countries, including the UK, employees don’t have to file tax returns if their employer deducts tax from their salary. This reduces administrative work for the employee and eases the burden on the tax department. The Budget should exempt employees from filing ITR if TDS is already deducted. This would streamline compliance for millions of salaried taxpayers, freeing up time and resources for both individuals and the tax department.

NISHANT KHEMANI
MANAGING PARTNER,SATURN CONSULTING GROUP

ET Wealth view
Exemption from filing tax returns could lead to confusion over the eligibility criteria. Most salaried people also have income from other sources where TDS may not fully cover the due tax. Capital gains are also not subjected to TDS. Exemption is possible only if the individual declares all incomes to the employer and TDS is correctly deducted.

Simplify capital gains taxes further


The government wants to simplify the tax structure and, hence, has made capital gains tax uniform across various asset classes. Unfortunately, due to legacy issues, a lot of complexity still exists in the form of purchase dates of debt funds, international funds and even gold funds. These inconsistencies have created a lot of confusion in the minds of retail investors.

VIVEK BANKA
CO-FOUNDER,GOALTELLER

The capital gains tax structure can be simplified further by converging tax rates for different sub-asset classes. For example, international equities at par with domestic equities, debt funds at par with gold funds, and gold funds at par with gold ETFs. Also, unless there is a compelling reason, actions should not be either retrospective or deferred too far in the future. The taxation of gold funds, for instance, comes into effect only from 1 April 2025.

ET Wealth view
The government has taken significant steps to streamline the capital gains tax regime. However, certain inconsistencies remain. Addressing these will help rationalise the tax system further.


Extend study loan deduction to 12 years

Given the rising cost of higher studies, education loans have become necessary, but there is no tax deduction under the new tax regime. Even under the old regime, the deduction Section 80E is available only for eight years. This 8-year window is sufficient for small loans, but the repayment term will have to be longer to make it affordable for new earners. The Budget should include deduction for education loan interest under the new regime and extend the claim period to at least 12 years.

UMESH JETHANI
CHARTERED ACCOUNTANT

ET Wealth view
The ticket size of education loans has risen in recent years as many students are going for foreign education. Extending the deduction window to 15 years will make repayment easier for them.