Sergi Cutillas was thrilled when Spain joined the euro. Now
he wants out.
"The
eurozone has failed. It was a bad experiment," he said. "It was
wishful thinking."
The
34-year-old economist wants Spain to abandon the euro. He's far from alone: 25%
of the people who use the common currency want to ditch it, according to the
latest European Union poll.
The
threat to the euro is most acute in France, where people will vote Sunday in
the final round of a presidential election that features Marine Le Pen. The far
right politician wants France to abandon the currency
union.
The euro, the currency of 19 EU
countries, is the most visible symbol of the region's long experiment with
economic integration since the end of World War II.
But it's now under threat from
politicians on both the left and right who want to bring the lira, drachma,
peseta and French franc out of retirement.
Here's why some Europeans want to
kill the euro:
'Europe is not a nation'
For
Alberto Bagnai, the case against the currency boils down to this: European
countries are not the same, and so they shouldn't use the same currency.
"The basic point is that you
cannot have a federal state among citizens from countries with such a different
cultural past," said the Italian academic. "Without a European state,
you cannot have European money."Some European countries are
richer, some are poorer, like American states. But unlike the U.S., the
eurozone does not have a central government to decide on spending, tax and
budget policies.
"The U.S. is a nation, there
is a sense of common identity," he said.
That's not true in Europe, where
there's little prospect of political unity because wealthier nations such as
Germany would end up transferring money permanently to the less fortunate.
"Germany does not want
this," said Bagnai. "We should stop telling fairy tales."
'Optical illusion'
Such deep divisions were not
always so apparent.The interest rates that Spain,
Greece and Italy needed to pay creditors plummeted after they joined the euro
-- putting them on a par with Germany.
"Investors looked at nominal interest
rates and thought the Greeks have become German," said Bagnai. "It
was kind of an optical illusion."Then the financial crisis hit, and cracks in the monetary union
began to show.
In Spain, policymakers weren't able to make the euro cheaper to
counter the collapse of a property bubble and debt crisis.
Instead, Madrid was forced to reduce spending
and implement an austerity program -- and that hit living standards.
"The 20% unemployment we now have in Spain is a direct result
of the euro," said the economist Cutillas.Cutillas said that many people in Spain, which endured decades of
violent dictatorship under Francisco Franco, support the euro because it's
associated with progress, modernity and peace. That isn't enough for the
economist.
"It's nice to be able to travel around easily and have easy
means of payment, but these advantages shouldn't cover what's happening with
the euro," he said.
A Greek
tragedy
Greece is a prime example of the division between wealthy northern
European countries and weaker economies on the continent's periphery.
Facing a debt crisis of its own, Athens agreed to drastic
austerity programs in exchange for repeated bailouts. Salaries, pensions and
government spending have all been cut dramatically.
Fotis Panagiotopoulos, a dock worker at the
Athens Port Authority, experienced the consequences first hand.His salary has dropped 50% since the
beginning of the Greek crisis in 2010. His wife can't find a stable job.What we are experiencing in Greece is slow
death," he said. "There is no way out unless we break free from this
debt cycle.Panagiotopoulos wants Greece to ditch the
euro and start over.We just want to make sure that we, and our
children, can have a decent future," he said. With the euro, I don't see
how this is possible.
Ireland's
euro-bubble
Remember the Celtic Tiger? Ireland boomed in the euro's early
years, growing on average 6.5% a year between 1999 and 2007.
Keith Redmond, a dentist and local politician in Dublin, looks
back on those days with fear.
It wasn't a boom. It was a bubble ... a euro-currency
bubble," he said.
Redmond argues that without control over its interest rates,
Ireland wasn't able to cool the bubble.When it burst, it brought the Irish banking system to the brink of
collapse. Ireland was forced to slash spending.Ireland has turned the corner and its economy is growing again.
But for Redmond, the euro remains a problem.The fundamental flaw is still there ... this can all happen again.
We have no flexibility in our monetary system to deal with a shock," he
said.
French
nationalism
Vincent Brousseau is a French economist. But for him, the trouble
with the euro is not about the economics.Instead, he sees the common currency as a threat to France's
national sovereignty.It's not French," he said of the currency. "It doesn't
matter whether it's overvalued or undervalued... this is about making our own
decisions."
He's had a major change of heart. Brousseau worked for the
European Central Bank until a few years ago.When I started at the ECB, I believed there could be one Europe, I
was a convinced European," he said.But he gradually changed his opinion over the 15 years he spent at
the central bank that sets a common interest rate for all 19 eurozone
countries.
I realized that transferring sovereignty from France to the
European superstate is not good for the country," said Brousseau, who now
oversees economic and monetary policy at French political party
What's
next
Opponents of the euro disagree on what should
happen next.
Redmond would like to see the currency split
into two. The current euro would be used by Germany, Netherlands and other
economically stronger countries. A second, weaker euro, would be introduced for
Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain.
Brousseau wants France to completely drop the
euro and bring back the franc. He's not a fan of the the compromises proposed
by Le Pen, who has suggested that a new pan-European currency could be used in
parallel to the franc.
In Italy, Bagnai thinks the end of the euro is an inevitability.
We know that the project could last for a
decade, perhaps, but it's going to end. And the sooner it ends the better.
-- Elinda Labropoulou and Maud Le
Rest contributed reporting.
CNNMoney
(London)First published April 19, 2017: 5:32 AM ET
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