I HAVE BEEN GETTING LOT OF QUESTIONS FROM MANY OF RETAIL INVESTORS OF VODAFONE IDEA AS TO WHETHER THE COMPANY WILL DIE DUE TO NON PAYMENT OF AGR DUES?
AND MY ANSWER IS A CLEAR NO BASED ON FOLLOWING TECHNICALS
WHY?
1.KEEPING IN VIEW MASSIVE DEMAND OF DATA USAGE IN INDIA NOT BECAUSE OF CORONA VIRUS BUT OTHERWISE THE TELECOM SECTOR SHALL BE MILK GIVING COW NOT TO GOVERNMENT OF INDIA BUT ALSO TO TELCOS.
2.SOME SOLUTION SHALL BE THERE FOR STAGGERED PAYMENTS OF AGR DUES.
3.FLOOR PRICE OF TARIFFS MAY SEE SOME INCREASE MAKING TELECOMS A BIT VIABLE.
4.IN CASE VODAFONE IDEA GOES OFF THE AIR THEN REST TWO IN PRIVATE SECTOR I.E. RELIANCE JIO (MR.MUKESH AMBANI MAY BE HAVING GOI IN HIS POCKET (AS PER OBSERVATIONS OF MANY RETAILS INVESTORS BUT I DO NOT THINK IT TO BE SO ) BUT EVERY TIME HE SHALL NOT SUCCEED AS HIS OWN RELIANCE OIL SECTOR IS IN ACUTE STRESS DUE TO SUDDEN CRASH OF CRUDE OIL WORLD OVER
5.FURTHER AIRTEL AND RELIANCE JIO COMBINED WILL NOT BE ABLE TO TAKE OVER SUBSCRIBERS OF VODAFONE IDEA OVERNIGHT AND MAY REQUIRE MASSIVE CAPEX AND TIME.
6.BSNL IS INFESTED WITH LETHARGIC BABUS WHO EVEN BEING SUPPORTED BY GOI THRU CAPITAL INFUSION WILL NOT TAKE INITIATIVE TO MAKE BSNL A SUCCESS.
7.IS IT NOT A CONTEMPT OF SC THAT IN SPITE OF VODAFONE WINNING INCOME TAX CASE THE DEPARTMENT IS SITTING OVER THE MONEY AND GOI IS JUST DOING TAMASHA.
8.FDI IN FUTURE SHALL BE BADLY HIT IN CASE VODAFONE IS CLOSED AS OUR GOVERNMENT HAD A BAD REPUTATION OF AMENDING LAWS WITH RETROSPECTIVE EFFECT.
9.CRUDE OIL NOSE DIVED TO THE RESCUE OF GOI AND FM AS IT WILL CURTAIL FISCAL DEFICIT.
10.GOI NEEDS TO CREATE JOBS AS MANY JOB ARE ALREADY ON STAKE IN PRESENT SITUATION.
CONCLUSION:-LET US PRAY ONLY FOR POSITIVE OUTCOME
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